Valuation

Brookfield Renewable Partners is one of the largest North American utility companies with generation across CA, US, EU and emerging market countries such Brazil and Colombia. Generation is diversified across sector and segment including hydro, wind, solar and bio fuel. Historically the firm has been growing organically and inorganically through acquisitions.  

Modelyze Investments has modelled the operation of this company up to 2032. An annual financial model, breakdown of revenue and cost forecasts, balance sheet, operating cash flow, income statement, tax, depreciation, Capex, debt, and equity schedules are provided. Covenant and credit statistics are analysed. Subjective, unobservable valuation (discounted cash flow) and a market based input analysis (comparable analysis) with respect to competitors such as Transalta Renewables, Capital Power, Algonquin Power and Northland Power are modelled. Sensitivity analysis of equity value per share as a function of cost of capital and terminal year exit multiples are performed. Best, base and worst case scenarios for inflation and economic drivers are included. Valuation and forecasts are subject to inputs and assumptions. Click here to view the model.

For a live rolling quarterly Equity Research model of BEP.UN click here.

Sustainable Energy

PDC Energy Inc. ("PDC" or the "Company") is a mature US based independent oil & gas E&P company that acquires, explores and develops properties for the production of crude oil, natural gas and NGLs, with operations in the Wattenberg Field in Colorado and the Delaware Basin in Texas. The firm has been growing organically and through acquisitions.

 

Modelyze Investments has modelled the operation of this company up to 2025. A historical analysis of operating performance of the company along with a comprehensive annual financial model with a breakdown of revenue and cost forecasts, production schedules, reserve profiles, oil & gas ratios, balance sheet,  cash flow and income statement are presented. Covenant, credit statistics and other oil & gas industry ratios are analysed. Intrinsic valuation, pricing or relative valuation as well as net asset value (NAV) of operating assets are presented in the model. Proper treatment of shares and options, adjustments to operating income as well as cost of capital calculation are addressed. Sensitivity analysis of equity value per share as a function of cost of capital and terminal year growth rates are presented. Best, base and worst case scenarios for inflation and average realization pricing before transportation, gathering and processing (TGP) are included. Valuation and forecasts are subject to inputs and assumptions. Click here to view the model.

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